8 Jul · 16:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
LP
🇨🇿Libor Prikasky
ELO 1651
FormWWLWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Prikasky
MS
🇨🇿Martin Skotnica
ELO 1573
FormLLLWW
54%
46%
Fair odds · Prikasky
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+78
H2H0-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.