8 Jul · 10:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PK
🇨🇿Pavel Kulhanek
ELO 1421
FormWWWLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Kulhanek
VS
🇨🇿Vaclav Hruska Sr
ELO 1320
FormLLLWL
55%
45%
🌟Sr stays under total as underdog 73% (15)
Fair odds · Kulhanek
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+101
H2H13-25
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+101)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)