8 Jul · 18:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
LP
🇨🇿Libor Prikasky
ELO 1651
FormWWLWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Prikasky
MN
🇨🇿Matyas Navedla
ELO 1592
FormWLLLL
53%
47%
🌟Navedla covers set handicap as underdog 73% (22)
Fair odds · Prikasky
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 38% · 2.67· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+59
H2H5-14
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.