8 Jul · 17:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MJ
🇨🇿Michal Jezek
ELO 1639
FormWLLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Jezek
TP
🇨🇿Tomas Prosa
ELO 1595
FormWLLLL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Jezek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 36% · 2.81· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+44
H2H3-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.