8 Jul · 14:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MK
🇨🇿Milan Klement
ELO 1640
FormWWWLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Klement
MS
🇨🇿Martin Sychra
ELO 1626
FormWWWWW
51%
49%
🌟Sychra covers set handicap as underdog 70% (27)
Fair odds · Klement
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~78 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+14
H2H21-21
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.