8 Jul · 08:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PP
🇨🇿Pavel Petr
ELO 1415
FormLWLLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Petr
VK
🇨🇿Vladimir Kubat
ELO 1294
FormWWLLL
56%
44%
Fair odds · Petr
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+121
H2H3-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+121)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-2)