9 Jul · 01:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
KD
🇨🇿Kyryl Darin
ELO 1458
FormLWWLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Picek
PP
🇨🇿Petr Picek
ELO 1468
FormLWLWL
49%
51%
🌟Darin stays under total as underdog 72% (29)
Fair odds · Picek
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~79 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+10
H2H45-31
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.