9 Jul · 04:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AM
🇨🇿Alexander Mikuska
ELO 1519
FormWLWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Mikuska
KD
🇨🇿Kyryl Darin
ELO 1458
FormLWWLW
53%
47%
🌟Darin stays under total as underdog 72% (29)
Fair odds · Mikuska
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+61
H2H8-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.