9 Jul · 03:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OK
🇨🇿Ondrej Kucirek
ELO 1534
FormWWWLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Kucirek
KD
🇨🇿Kyryl Darin
ELO 1458
FormLWWLW
54%
46%
🌟Darin stays under total as underdog 72% (29)
Fair odds · Kucirek
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+76
H2H11-20
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.