9 Jul · 02:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RB
🇨🇿Radek Bartunek
ELO 1539
FormLLLLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Bartunek
PP
🇨🇿Petr Picek
ELO 1468
FormLWLWL
54%
46%
Fair odds · Bartunek
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+71
H2H10-24
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.