9 Jul · 04:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OK
🇨🇿Ondrej Kucirek
ELO 1534
FormWWWLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Bartunek
RB
🇨🇿Radek Bartunek
ELO 1539
FormLLLLW
50%
50%
🌟Kucirek stays under total as underdog 83% (12)
Fair odds · Bartunek
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 36% · 2.81· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~74 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+5
H2H19-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.