9 Jul · 02:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
PZ
🇨🇿Petr Zmuda
ELO 1512
FormWWLLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Plachy
JP
🇨🇿Jiri Plachy
ELO 1520
FormWWLLW
50%
50%
🌟Plachy rarely covers set handicap as favourite 20% (15)
Fair odds · Plachy
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+8
H2H7-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.