9 Jul · 03:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
PF
🇨🇿Pavel Fojt
ELO 1522
FormLLLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Fojt
PZ
🇨🇿Petr Zmuda
ELO 1512
FormWWLLW
51%
49%
🌟Fojt stays under total as favourite 70% (20)
Fair odds · Fojt
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+10
H2H1-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.