9 Jul · 02:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JP
🇨🇿Jaroslav Prokupek
ELO 1479
FormWLWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Fojt
PF
🇨🇿Pavel Fojt
ELO 1522
FormLLLLL
48%
52%
🌟Fojt stays under total as favourite 70% (20)
Fair odds · Fojt
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 35% · 2.82· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+43
H2H9-47
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.