9 Jul · 03:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VC
🇨🇿Vladimir Cermak
ELO 1548
FormLWLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Sopko
MS
🇨🇿Martin Sopko
ELO 1572
FormWWLLW
49%
51%
🌟Sopko stays under total as favourite 83% (12)
Fair odds · Sopko
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+24
H2H5-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.