9 Jul · 01:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
KB
🇨🇿Karel Brozhik
ELO 1545
FormLLLWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Cermak
VC
🇨🇿Vladimir Cermak
ELO 1548
FormLWLLW
50%
50%
🌟Cermak stays under total as favourite 65% (20)
Fair odds · Cermak
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+3
H2H0-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.