9 Jul · 00:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JD
🇨🇿Jiri Dedek
ELO 1512
FormLWWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Dedek
JP
🇨🇿Jaroslav Prokupek
ELO 1479
FormWLWWW
52%
48%
Fair odds · Dedek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+33
H2H26-29
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.