9 Jul · 03:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JP
🇨🇿Jiri Plachy
ELO 1520
FormWWLLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Plachy
JD
🇨🇿Jiri Dedek
ELO 1512
FormLWWLW
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Dedek🌟Plachy rarely covers set handicap as favourite 20% (15)
Fair odds · Plachy
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+8
H2H37-12
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.