9 Jul · 00:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PP
🇨🇿Petr Picek
ELO 1468
FormLWLWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Kucirek
OK
🇨🇿Ondrej Kucirek
ELO 1534
FormWWWLW
47%
53%
Fair odds · Kucirek
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+66
H2H32-14
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.