9 Jul · 01:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JD
🇨🇿Jiri Dedek
ELO 1512
FormLWWLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Fojt
PF
🇨🇿Pavel Fojt
ELO 1522
FormLLLLL
49%
51%
🌟Fojt stays under total as favourite 70% (20)
Fair odds · Fojt
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 42% · 2.37· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+10
H2H15-27
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.