8 Jul · 13:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
PS
🇨🇿Petr Saleny
ELO 1563
FormLLWWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Regner
MR
🇨🇿Michal Regner
ELO 1567
FormLWWLW
50%
50%
🌟Regner stays under total as favourite 62% (24)
Fair odds · Regner
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+4
H2H12-15
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.