9 Jul · 08:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MK
🇨🇿Miroslav Kowolowski
ELO 1534
FormWWLLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Kowolowski
DM
🇨🇿David Mikula
ELO 1426
FormLLLWL
56%
44%
🌟Mikula stays under total as underdog 67% (18)
Fair odds · Kowolowski
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+108
H2H1-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+108)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)