9 Jul · 09:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DP
🇨🇿Dmitro Parhomenko
ELO 1423
FormLLLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Stolfa
JS
🇨🇿Jakub Stolfa
ELO 1460
FormWLWWW
48%
52%
🌟Stolfa rarely covers set handicap as favourite 38% (32)
Fair odds · Stolfa
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+37
H2H6-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.