9 Jul · 10:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JS
🇨🇿Jakub Stolfa
ELO 1460
FormWLWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Bresky
JB
🇨🇿Jaroslav Bresky
ELO 1507
FormWWLWW
48%
52%
🌟Stolfa stays under total as underdog 69% (16)
Fair odds · Bresky
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+47
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.