9 Jul · 09:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MK
🇨🇿Milan Kolar
ELO 1577
FormWLLWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Kolar
JB
🇨🇿Jaroslav Bresky
ELO 1507
FormWWLWW
54%
46%
🌟Kolar stays under total as favourite 65% (55)
Fair odds · Kolar
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+70
H2H3-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.