9 Jul · 08:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
PV
🇨🇿Pavel Varecha
ELO 1470
FormLWWLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Varecha
ZZ
🇨🇿Zbynek Zientek
ELO 1463
FormLLLWL
50%
50%
🌟Zientek covers set handicap as underdog 70% (77)
Fair odds · Varecha
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~74 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+7
H2H9-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.