9 Jul · 10:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DM
🇨🇿David Mikula
ELO 1426
FormLLLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Zientek
ZZ
🇨🇿Zbynek Zientek
ELO 1463
FormLLLWL
48%
52%
🌟Zientek goes over total as favourite 76% (34)
Fair odds · Zientek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+37
H2H3-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.