9 Jul · 09:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
IK
🇨🇿Ivan Kolenciak
ELO 1384
FormWWLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Toth
JT
🇨🇿Josef Toth
ELO 1393
FormLWWLW
49%
51%
Fair odds · Toth
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 38% · 2.67· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+9
H2H2-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.