9 Jul · 13:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
RR
🇨🇿Radomir Revay
ELO 1652
FormLWWLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Polasek
RP
🇨🇿Radovan Polasek
ELO 1665
FormWLLLW
49%
51%
🔥 Underdog lean · Revay🌟Revay covers set handicap as underdog 71% (94)
Fair odds · Polasek
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 58% · 1.74· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+13
H2H67-54
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.