9 Jul · 13:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PS
🇨🇿Petr Saleny
ELO 1566
FormWLLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Kolisnyk
OK
🇨🇿Oleksandr Kolisnyk
ELO 1607
FormWLWWW
48%
52%
🔥 Underdog lean · Saleny🌟Kolisnyk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 32% (38)
Fair odds · Kolisnyk
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 70% · 1.42· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+41
H2H9-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.