9 Jul · 10:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MS
🇨🇿Miroslav Stolba
ELO 1447
FormLWWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Stolba
JT
🇨🇿Josef Toth
ELO 1393
FormLWWLW
53%
47%
🌟Toth covers set handicap as underdog 79% (14)
Fair odds · Stolba
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 47% · 2.15· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+54
H2H1-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.