9 Jul · 12:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JB
🇨🇿Jaroslav Bresky
ELO 1507
FormWWLWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Bresky
DP
🇨🇿Dmitro Parhomenko
ELO 1423
FormLLLLL
54%
46%
🔥 Underdog lean · Parhomenko🌟Bresky rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (18)
Fair odds · Bresky
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+84
H2H2-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.