8 Jul · 22:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MN
🇨🇿Matej Nohejl
ELO 1528
FormLLWWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Cermak
VC
🇨🇿Vladimir Cermak
ELO 1529
FormLLLWL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Cermak
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+1
H2H10-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.