9 Jul · 16:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JZ
🇨🇿Jiri Zuzanek
ELO 1585
FormWWLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Zuzanek
PS
🇨🇿Petr Sebera
ELO 1566
FormWWWWW
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Sebera
Fair odds · Zuzanek
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+19
H2H36-39
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.