9 Jul · 17:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PS
🇨🇿Petr Sebera
ELO 1566
FormWWWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Klement
MK
🇨🇿Milan Klement
ELO 1640
FormWWWLW
46%
54%
🔥 Underdog lean · Sebera
Fair odds · Klement
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+74
H2H5-15
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.