10 Jul · 12:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DH
🇨🇿Denis Hofman
ELO 1537
FormWLLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Hofman
PS
🇨🇿Petr Saleny
ELO 1519
FormLLWLL
51%
49%
🌟Hofman rarely covers set handicap as favourite 32% (47)
Fair odds · Hofman
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+18
H2H8-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.