10 Jul · 09:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JS
🇨🇿Jiri Svec
ELO 1333
FormLWLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Vrba
JV
🇨🇿Jindrich Vrba
ELO 1350
FormWWWWW
49%
51%
🌟Vrba covers set handicap as favourite 64% (14)
Fair odds · Vrba
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+17
H2H3-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.