10 Jul · 13:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PS
🇨🇿Petr Saleny
ELO 1519
FormLLWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Sebera
PS
🇨🇿Petr Sebera
ELO 1566
FormWWWWW
48%
52%
Fair odds · Sebera
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 38% · 2.66· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+47
H2H4-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.