10 Jul · 10:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
SB
🇨🇿Samuel Byrtus
ELO 1564
FormWLWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Byrtus
JC
🇨🇿Josef Cabak
ELO 1531
FormLLLLW
52%
48%
🌟Byrtus rarely covers set handicap as favourite 30% (43)
Fair odds · Byrtus
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+33
H2H7-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.