10 Jul · 10:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
FL
🇨🇿Frantisek Laburda
ELO 1510
FormWLWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Walek
AW
🇨🇿Adrian Walek
ELO 1533
FormWWLWL
49%
51%
🌟Walek goes over total as favourite 65% (37)
Fair odds · Walek
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+23
H2H4-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.