10 Jul · 10:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DP
🇨🇿Daniel Priesol
ELO 1454
FormWLLLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Zientek
ZZ
🇨🇿Zbynek Zientek
ELO 1463
FormWLWLL
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Zientek🌟Zientek goes over total as favourite 76% (37)
Fair odds · Zientek
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+9
H2H12-12
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.