10 Jul · 08:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JV
🇨🇿Jindrich Vrba
ELO 1350
FormWWWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Vrba
MS
🇨🇿Milan Smesny
ELO 1335
FormWLWWL
51%
49%
🌟Vrba covers set handicap as favourite 64% (14)
Fair odds · Vrba
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+15
H2H7-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.