10 Jul · 12:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MH
🇨🇿Martin Huk
ELO 1545
FormLWLLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Urbaniec
RU
🇨🇿Radim Urbaniec
ELO 1554
FormLLWWW
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Urbaniec
Fair odds · Urbaniec
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+9
H2H21-20
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.