10 Jul · 14:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JJ
🇨🇿Jan Mecl Jr
ELO 1632
FormWWLWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Jr
RU
🇨🇿Radim Urbaniec
ELO 1554
FormLLWWW
54%
46%
Fair odds · Jr
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+78
H2H7-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.