10 Jul · 10:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MK
🇨🇿Miroslav Kowolowski
ELO 1505
FormLLLLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Kowolowski
AS
🇨🇿Antonin Schneeberger
ELO 1439
FormWLWLL
53%
47%
🌟Kowolowski rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (77)
Fair odds · Kowolowski
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+66
H2H8-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.