10 Jul · 12:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JP
🇨🇿Jiri Plachy
ELO 1529
FormWWWLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Plachy
DP
🇨🇿Dmitro Parhomenko
ELO 1460
FormLWLWW
54%
46%
🔥 Underdog lean · Parhomenko🌟Plachy rarely covers set handicap as favourite 31% (71)
Fair odds · Plachy
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+69
H2H43-35
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.