10 Jul · 18:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JD
🇨🇿Jiri Dedek
ELO 1550
FormWWLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Dedek
TD
🇨🇿Tomas Dousa
ELO 1504
FormWLLWL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Dedek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 39% · 2.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+46
H2H13-14
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.