10 Jul · 09:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
ZZ
🇨🇿Zbynek Zientek
ELO 1463
FormWLWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Kowolowski
MK
🇨🇿Miroslav Kowolowski
ELO 1505
FormLLLLW
48%
52%
🔥 Underdog lean · Zientek🌟Zientek covers set handicap as underdog 68% (98)
Fair odds · Kowolowski
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+42
H2H13-20
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.