10 Jul · 10:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
LF
🇨🇿Lubos Forman
ELO 1341
FormWLLLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Vrba
JV
🇨🇿Jindrich Vrba
ELO 1350
FormWWWWW
50%
50%
🌟Vrba covers set handicap as favourite 64% (14)
Fair odds · Vrba
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+9
H2H3-11
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.