10 Jul · 08:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
LF
🇨🇿Lubos Forman
ELO 1341
FormWLLLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Forman
JS
🇨🇿Jiri Svec
ELO 1333
FormLWLLW
50%
50%
🌟Forman stays under total as favourite 71% (24)
Fair odds · Forman
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~78 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+8
H2H3-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.